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Barchart
Barchart
Anushka Mukherji

An Analyst Just Tripled His Price Target on This Quantum Computing Stock

Quantum computing is shaping up to be the next big investing revolution, and for a very good reason. With the power to solve problems at speeds unimaginable to traditional computers, this revolutionary technology is drawing the attention of investors and tech giants alike. And one company that has been riding this wave is IonQ (IONQ), a quantum computing pioneer that has sparked both enthusiasm and skepticism ever since its public debut.

IonQ went public in October 2021 through a SPAC merger, opening at $10.60 before skyrocketing to $31 within a month. However, like many speculative tech stocks, it faced a brutal downturn, sinking to about $3 by late 2022. But fast forward to 2024, and the narrative had shifted dramatically. Quantum computing shot back into the spotlight after Alphabet (GOOGL) announced a breakthrough with its Willow quantum computing chip by the end of 2024, fueling a fresh wave of investor excitement for IonQ as well as many other quantum computing stocks.

Having said that, IonQ has emerged as a standout player in the quantum computing space, backed by strong fundamentals and an expanding pipeline of commercial opportunities. And the momentum hasn’t gone unnoticed. Forbes recently recognized IonQ as one of “America’s Most Successful Mid-Cap Companies,” while Investor’s Business Daily ranked it among the best companies of 2024. Additionally, Built In included it on its “2025 Best Places to Work” list, underscoring its appeal not just to investors, but also to top talent.

Meanwhile, analysts are also taking note, with Needham analyst N. Quinn Bolton recently tripling his price target on the stock, reflecting growing confidence in its long-term potential. Given the rising bullish sentiment around this stock coupled with quantum computing technology gaining serious traction among investors, let’s zoom in on this quantum computing player.

About IonQ Stock

Maryland-based IonQ (IONQ) is leading the charge in the quantum computing revolution with a mission to solve the world’s most complex problems. Built on over 25 years of pioneering academic research, IonQ specializes in trapped-ion quantum computing, taking this game-changing technology from the lab and into real-world applications across industries and academia. Unlike traditional computers that rely on binary bits, IonQ’s quantum computers utilize “qubits,” which can store both zeros and ones simultaneously, enabling processing much faster than today’s machines.

Even more impressive is that while quantum systems have traditionally been bulky, expensive, and error-prone, IonQ’s breakthrough trapped-ion technology is shrinking these powerful systems from feet to inches, making them more compact, affordable, and precise than ever before. The company’s market cap presently stands at approximately $9.1 billion.

Shares of this quantum computing stock have been on an incredible run, delivering jaw-dropping returns of roughly 328% over the past year, leaving the broader S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX) 21.8% return in the dust. And the stock’s momentum has only intensified in the last six months, posting an eye-popping return of 543%, obliterating the broader market’s almost 13% gain over the same stretch.

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As IonQ continues its impressive ascent, it’s evident that this quantum computing stock is making a significant splash far beyond the market norm. And given its explosive rise in recent months, it’s no shocker that IonQ is now trading at an eye-watering 234.46 times sales, signaling that investors are placing big bets on the company’s long-term potential. This sky-high valuation reflects growing confidence in the company’s ability to lead the quantum computing revolution.

Diving Into IonQ’s Q3 Financial Performance

IonQ’s stellar Q3 earnings report disclosed on Nov. 6 sparked a major rally, with the stock soaring a remarkable 34.4% in the subsequent trading session. Despite posting a wider-than-expected loss of $0.24 per share and being in the early stages of quantum development, the company achieved 102.1% year-over-year revenue growth, reaching $12.4 million and beating estimates by a notable 17.2% margin. This incredible performance left investors buzzing, signaling that IonQ is on a serious growth trajectory.

Alongside its impressive Q3 revenue growth, IonQ has made significant strides, securing $63.5 million in new bookings. A standout achievement was landing the largest U.S. quantum contract of 2024, a $54.5 million award from the U.S. Air Force Research Lab. The company also made waves by launching a new quantum application development center in collaboration with pharma giant AstraZeneca (AZN) and forming a partnership with Ansys (ANSS) to bring quantum power to the $10 billion computer-aided engineering industry.

These strategic initiatives highlight IonQ’s expanding influence and growing presence in the quantum space. The company’s financial position remains rock solid, with $382.8 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments as of Sept. 30, 2024. This substantial war chest gives IonQ the resources it needs to power its ambitious quantum computing innovations and further strengthen its key partnerships.

Building on the momentum from its strong Q3 performance, IonQ’s management has raised its fiscal 2024 revenue forecast, now projecting a range between $38.5 million and $42.5 million, with Q4 expected to contribute between $7.1 million and $11.1 million. The company also reaffirmed its bookings outlook for the entire year, expecting it to land between $75 million and $95 million.

What Do Analysts Expect for IonQ Stock?

On Jan. 27, Needham analyst N. Quinn Bolton raised IonQ’s price target to a remarkable $54 from just $18, maintaining a “Buy” rating on the stock. This comes as part of a broader research note on the rapidly evolving quantum computing sector, which has caught the attention of Wall Street in recent months. Bolton points to a string of technical breakthroughs, significant quantum contract wins, and rising mentions from top-tier tech CEOs, all of which are sparking growing awareness of quantum computing’s massive potential.

With investor interest soaring, stock prices of pure-play quantum computing companies, including IonQ, have exploded since September 2024. Needham further highlighted that the surge in valuations across the quantum computing space reflects a powerful shift in market sentiment, with many now acknowledging that this groundbreaking technology could disrupt a massive chunk of the $1 trillion computing market in the coming decade.

While the coverage might be limited, Wall Street’s stance on IONQ stock is optimistic, with a consensus rating of “Moderate Buy” overall. Of the five analysts offering recommendations, two advise a “Strong Buy,” one gives a “Moderate Buy,” and the remaining two analysts maintain a “Hold.”

Although the stock has already blown past its average analyst price target of $37.60, Needham’s Street-high price target of $54 suggests that IONQ could still climb as much as 29% from current levels.

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