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The National (Scotland)
The National (Scotland)
National
Laura Pollock

All the Scottish towns and cities that may be underwater by 2050

RECENT flooding across Valencia has raised questions about flood preparedness and climate resilience across the world, so how much of Scotland is predicted to be underwater by 2050?

Valencia experienced unprecedented rainfall in just a few days, overwhelming drainage systems and causing widespread disruption.

In a matter of minutes, flash floods caused by heavy downpours in eastern Spain swept away almost everything in their path.

With no time to react, people were trapped in vehicles, homes and businesses. Many died and thousands of livelihoods were shattered.

A week later, authorities have recovered 219 bodies — 211 of them in the eastern region of Valencia — and are searching for at least 93 people who are unaccounted for.

Data conducted by Climate Central, an independent organisation of leading scientists and journalists who research climate change and its impact on the public, used current projections to produce a map showing which areas would be underwater by 2050.

The map gives an in-depth look at areas across the country, showing the specific effects climate change could have. You can view your area on the map here.

The worst affected areas are those with coastal fronts and sharing banks with rivers.

Which areas of Scotland could underwater by 2025?

Areas along the River Clyde such as Inverclyde and Largs see significant losses, as well as Dumbarton.

Glasgow City remains unaffected; however Clydebank and the surrounding areas see a significant loss of land amid an expansion of Black Cart Water.

In the Highlands, Inverness sees a substantial loss of land. An area from the Kessock Bridge as far inland as Friars Lane is predicted to be underwater.

Findhorn and Inverness see the most loss.

The Western Isles will also see some land loss. The town of Stornoway would see much of its land lost to flooding as well as the nearby villages of Melbost, New Valley and Tong.

Shetland remains unscathed, while Orkney only sees small amounts of loss along the coast.

Along the north east coast, almost every area loses a portion of land. This is the same along the north west coast, although not as significant.

In the East, Aberdeen sees a small section of land loss, mainly in the Old Aberdeen area, with flooding coming from the mouth of the Don.

Some land loss is seen in Leith, in Edinburgh as well as in Musselburgh.

In the Perth area, significant land loss is seen around the Rivers Tay and Earn. The degree of land loss is followed along the banks to Dundee, where much of the coastal land is lost.

Fife follows trends with the rest of the country, with projected land loss being most significant in coastal areas. North Queensferry appears to be the most affected by this.

Around the Borders, the River Nith and surrounding areas shows large amounts of projected land loss. Dumfries, Gretna Green and Annan are all affected.

However, Climate Central admits the calculations that have led to fears of a nightmare scenario include "some error".

It says: "These maps incorporate big datasets, which always include some error. These maps should be regarded as screening tools to identify places that may require deeper investigation of risk."

The maps have been based on "global-scale datasets for elevation, tides and coastal flood likelihoods" and "imperfect data is used".

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