Fifteen weeks into the season, the Houston Texans (9-5) have a -0.9 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 12th in the NFL.
The Kansas City Chiefs (13-1), who play host to the Texans in Week 16, are ranked 10th with a 1.0 FPI rating.
FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”
So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season.
- Detroit Lions (12-2): 8.4
- Buffalo Bills (12-3): 7.3
- Green Bay Packers (10-4): 6.8
- Baltimore Ravens (9-5): 6.6
- Philadelphia Eagles (12-2): 5.1
- Minnesota Vikings (12-2): 3.5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-6): 2.6
- San Francisco 49ers (6-8): 2.6
- Pittsburgh Steelers (10-4): 1.3
- Kansas City Chiefs (13-1): 1.0
- Washington Commanders (9-5): 0.9
- Houston Texans (9-5): 0.9
- Los Angeles Rams (8-6): 0.8
- Arizona Cardinals (7-7): 0.7
- Miami Dolphins (6-8): 0.3
- Cincinnati Bengals (6-8): -0.0
- Los Angeles Chargers (8-6): -0.0
- New York Jets (4-10): -0.3
- Seattle Seahawks (8-6): -0.9
- Denver Broncos (9-5): -1.2
- Chicago Bears (4-10): -1.7
- Tennessee Titans (3-11): -2.1
- Indianapolis Colts (6-8): -3.0
- Las Vegas Raiders (2-12): -3.9
- Atlanta Falcons (7-7): -4.4
- New England Patriots (3-11): -5.3
- Dallas Cowboys (6-8): -5.8
- Cleveland Browns (3-11): -5.9
- Jacksonville Jaguars (3-11): -6.0
- New Orleans Saints (5-9): -6.9
- New York Giants (2-12): -8.5
- Carolina Panthers (3-11): -10.1
The Texans will aim to improve their rating when they face the reigning Super Bowl champions on Saturday at noon CT. Houston remained idle in the FPI rankings since last week.
Saturday’s game will be nationally televised on NBC.
