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Football London
Football London
Sport
Will Freeman

AC Milan vs Tottenham prediction for Champions League tie as Antonio Conte has midfield crisis

Tottenham will be hoping that they can leave mixed domestic form behind them as they travel to Italy on Tuesday for the first leg of their Champions League round of 16 tie against AC Milan.

The Serie A title holders have lost four of their last five matches in the league, but their weekend win against Torino was a boost ahead of the meeting against Spurs, who make a trip to a stadium which has fond memories for their fans. Spurs played in the famous San Siro twice in the 2010/11 season, with a Gareth Bale hat-trick against Inter before a famous last 16 win against Tuesday's opponents.

Since then, Spurs have played in a Champions League final while Milan have not reached this stage since 2013/14. The two teams come into the game an almost equal footing according to the experts, with statisticians FiveThirtyEight giving Conte's side a 40% chance of winning the first leg.

READ MORE: Tottenham confirm Rodrigo Bentancur to undergo surgery after suffering ACL injury

Milan have been given a 35% chance, while a draw is rated at 24%. Spurs will be the favourites for the whole tie, having been handed a 53% chance of winning the second leg and overall a 64% chance of progression to the quarter finals of the competition.

The rankings have seen two overwhelming favourites emerge, with Bayern Munich (23%) and Manchester City (21%) backed as having the strongest chance of winning the tournament. Spurs have been given a 4% chance of emerging victorious and are the tenth ranked teams with the website which uses performance analysis and algorithms to build its probability metrics.

Spurs have something of a crisis in midfield, with Rodrigo Bentancur and Yves Bissouma injured and Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg suspended. Goalkeeper Hugo Lloris is also sidelined.

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