As we head into the weekend before the schedule gets crazy Thanksgiving weekend (games on Thursday, Friday, Sunday and Monday), we spread out this week’s picks to check a lot of boxes.
This week, we take the second-lowest Over/Under hitting Under, a division leader moving one step closer to clinching with a home win, a road underdog winning on the moneyline, one of the biggest favorites covering, and a Super Bowl reunion shootout.
Note: Odds are provided by BetMGM Sportsbook
5
New York Giants at Washington Commanders: Take UNDER 37 points (-110)
The Giants have the worst offense in the league. In 10 games, they have scored more than 17 points just once and that was in Week 2. New York is averaging less than 12 points a game and has scored 10 or less in half their games. The Commanders have scored 20 or less in half their games and lost to the Giants 14-7 in Week 7. It may take a defensive or special teams touchdown to make it past this number.
4
Take Minnesota Vikings on the moneyline (+115) at Denver Broncos
A month ago few would’ve predicted the Vikings would be on a five-game winning streak and the Broncos would have won three straight. Denver’s last two wins have been against the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills, so they’re no joke. But signs are pointing to Justin Jefferson coming back. This same Vikings team found ways to win, especially in one-score games, last season on its way to a 13-4 record. Bringing pressure on Russell Wilson is when things go south for the Broncos and few teams bring defensive pressure more than the Vikings.
3
Take Jacksonville Jaguars and lay 6.5 points (-120) vs. Tennessee Titans
The Jaguars haven’t been dominant, but five of their six wins have been by seven or more points (including four by double digits). The Titans have lost four of their last five games, and four of their last five losses have been by seven or more points. The Jaguars swept the Titans last year in a divisional changing of the guard, and they strike another blow with a decisive home win to put Tennessee on postseason life support.
2
Take Dallas Cowboys and lay 10.5 points (-110) at Carolina Panthers
The Cowboys have built a reputation this season of putting their foot on the neck of an opponent when they get them down. There six wins have included victories by scores of 40-0, 30-10, 38-3, 43-20 and 49-17. This is a team that feeds off momentum and doesn’t let up. The Panthers are 1-8 and looking in line for the No. 1 pick in the draft. This has a beatdown written all over it, because it’s what the Cowboys do when they face a lesser team.
1
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs: Take OVER 45.5 points
When these two met in the Super Bowl in February they scored 73 points between them. Both offenses are capable of big things, because they take big risks. If one team scores on consecutive possessions, the other is going to have to keep up. Both teams have the identity of scoring more touchdowns than field goals. Between them, through nine games, they have averaged five touchdowns and four field goals a game. A score of 27-20 hits the Over on this. Get ready for Round 2 when this O/U number falls.
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