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2024 Presidential Campaign Polls Show Mixed Outlook In Battleground States

Republican U.S. Presidential candidates participate in first 2024 campaign debate in Milwaukee

The 2024 presidential campaign is entering its home stretch with a mixed outlook across six key battleground states, according to new polls conducted by SSRS. Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are in a tight race in several crucial states.

In Wisconsin, Vice President Kamala Harris holds an advantage over Donald Trump, with 50% of likely voters supporting her compared to 44% for Trump. A similar trend is seen in Michigan, where Harris leads with 48% to Trump's 43%. However, in Arizona, Trump has the edge with 49% support compared to Harris' 44%.

Trump leads in Arizona.
Harris leads in Wisconsin and Michigan.
Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania are closely contested.

Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania are shaping up to be closely contested states, with Harris and Trump splitting likely voters almost evenly. In Georgia and Nevada, Harris leads with 48% to Trump's 47%. Pennsylvania, a state with a significant number of electoral votes, shows the candidates tied at 47% each.

One notable finding from the polls is that an average of 15% of likely voters across these states have not firmly decided on their choice yet. This suggests that there is still room for shifts in voter preferences as the campaign intensifies in the final nine weeks leading up to Election Day.

The polls were conducted after the Democratic National Convention in August and reflect results among likely voters determined through a combination of past voting behavior and current intention to vote. As the campaign activity ramps up and attention on the race increases, these battleground states will likely play a crucial role in determining the outcome of the 2024 presidential election.

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