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Riley Hamel

2022 RSM Classic odds, field notes, best bets and picks to win

The last PGA Tour event of the year that awards FedEx Cup points is here, as the best players in the world are in Georgia for the RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club in St. Simons Island.

For the first two days, players will play both the Seaside Course and Plantation Course before the Seaside Course is used for both weekend rounds.

After his four-shot win last week, Tony Finau enters as the betting favorite at +900. This will be Finau’s second RSM appearance but first since the Plantation Course was added to the rotation in 2015.

Jason Day, one of the other marquee names in the field, sits at +2000 after four quality starts in a row (T-8, T-11, T-21, T-16).

*Finau withdrew from the event Tuesday due to injury

RSM Classic: PGA Tour Live streaming on ESPN+

Golf course

Seaside Course | Par 70 | 7,005 yards

A view of the sixth green during the final round of the 2020 RSM Classic at the Seaside Course at Sea Island Golf Club in St Simons Island, Georgia. (Photo: Sam Greenwood/Getty Images)

Data Golf Information

Course Fit (compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes — such as driving distance — to predict who performs well at each course – DataGolf): 1. The Concession Golf Club, 2. Innisbrook (Copperhead), 3. Albany

Trending (the players’ last three starts): 1. Tony Finau (9, MC, 1), 2. Tom Hoge (T-9, T-13, MC), 3. Maverick McNealy (T-18, T-10, T-27)

Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc.): 1. Tony Finau (10 percent), 2. Brian Harmon (4.6 percent), 3. Jason Day (3.4 percent)

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Betting preview

Last week (Houston Open)

Jason Day of Australia prepares to putt on the ninth hole during the completion of the second round of the Cadence Bank Houston Open golf tournament. (Photo: Erik Williams/USA TODAY Sports)

Not a great week in Texas. Jason Day was my highest finisher at T-16 but another week without the outright winner.

Down four units on the week, up 26.5 units for the season.

If you’re interested in my full card every week, it’s posted on my Twitter sometime Wednesday afternoon. Follow me here.

Odds

Player Odds Player Odds
Tony Finau (+900) Harris English (+4000)
Brian Harman (+2000) Andrew Putnam (+4000)
Jason Day (+2000) Patrick Rodgers (+4000)
Seamus Power (+2000) Mackenzie Hughes (+4000)
Tom Hoge (+3000) Joel Dahmen (+4000)
Matthew NeSmith (+3000) Sahith Theegala (+4000)
Keith Mitchell (+3000) Matt Kuchar (+5000)
Denny McCarthy (+3000) Webb Simpson (+5000)
Taylor Montgomery (+3000) Kevin Kisner (+5000)
Justin Rose (+4000) Alex Smalley (+5000)

 

Jason Day

Jason Day of Australia takes a tee shot at the first hole during the first round of the Cadence Bank Houston Open golf tournament. (Photo: Erik Williams/USA TODAY Sports)

I will not stop betting on Jason Day until he gives me a reason.

He’s finished T-21 or better in four straight starts after missing the cut in his first event of the new season. Day missed the cut here last season but tied for 12th in 2020.

Bets to consider: Outright (+2000), Top 20 (+170)

Keith Mitchell

Keith Mitchell acknowledges the crowd after making a putt on the eighteenth hole during the third round of the Cadence Bank Houston Open golf tournament. (Photo: Erik Williams/USA TODAY Sports)

It’s a home game for Keith Mitchell.

After a few disappointing starts to open the season, Mitchell played consistently in Houston and finished the week inside the top 10 (T-9). Over the past three seasons, Mitchell has finished inside the top 15 at the RSM twice (T-12 in ’21 and T-14 in ’19).

Bets to consider: Outright (+3000), Top 20 (+190)

Joel Dahmen

Joel Dahmen watches his drive off the 10th tee during the first round of the 2022 Sanderson Farms Championship at the Country Club of Jackson in Jackson, Mississippi. (Photo: Rogelio V. Solis/Associated Press)

Despite his performances over the years, this feels like an event Joel Dahmen can thrive at. It’s short, requires target golf and the field isn’t loaded with stars.

Dahmen has four top-20 finishes in his last five starts, including top 10s in his last two. Last season, he grabbed a top 30 at the RSM.

Bets to consider: Outright (+4000), Top 20 (+180)

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