2022 Fantasy Strength of Schedule: Quarterbacks

The Huddle created the fantasy football schedule strength by positions back in 1997 and has continuously tweaked and refined it. This provides an early expectation for your fantasy players by applying the averages allowed by defenses last year to current schedules.

The analysis also considers the venue. There is a difference between how defenses respond either home or away, which creates 64  individual “defensive matchups” depending on the game location.

See also:
2022 fantasy football schedule strength – Quarterbacks
2022 fantasy football schedule strength – Running Backs
2022 fantasy football schedule strength – Receivers

The scoring was a point for every 20 passing yards and four -point touchdowns. Rushing is a point for every ten yards and six-point scores. The average passing fantasy points allowed by defenses to quarterbacks are at the bottom of this page for reference.

Total Points

For fantasy contests and some leagues, only total points matter. Below are the total points for each passing offense according to their schedule using the averages allowed in 2021 by those defenses.

PHI	WAS	BUF	CIN	JAC	IND	HOU	SF	DET	CHI	LAC
401	400	396	394	391	390	389	388	387	385	384
DEN	NYG	TB	ATL	NO	SEA	GB	DAL	CAR	TEN
383	383	382	382	382	379	378	378	378	377
MIN	MIA	KC	NE	BAL	LAR	CLE	ARI	LV	PIT	NYJ
377	375	374	373	370	369	367	365	362	362	356

The Eagles fare the best – nice timing with an upgraded set of receivers. The poor Jets catch no break with the toughest overall schedule fantasy point-wise for quarterbacks. The addition of Davante Adams in Las Vegas comes at an opportune time for David Carr since he and Kyler Murray face a more daunting overall schedule.

Weekly Play

Three different views are below. Week 1 to 17 is the full-season fantasy strength of schedule. “The Dorey Rule” says to draft by considering the first six weeks for a hot start. Finally, Weeks 15 to 17 represent the most common fantasy playoff weeks. “Good” games were when they faced one of the top 22 venues from last year; “Bad” was when they played in one of the worst 22. Bye weeks were also considered as “bad”.

 

Notable schedules

Carson Wentz (WAS) –  He’s been below-average for the last couple of seasons, but Wentz lands in an opportune spot with Terry McLaurin and the rookie Jahan Dotson as starting wideouts and the lightest schedule of any quarterback. He opens the year with nine favorable matchups against just one bad game over the first 12 weeks before ending the season with a less advantageous stretch. For those who like to stream quarterbacks, Wentz should be a consideration.

Josh Allen (BUF) – He’s the consensus No. 1 fantasy quarterback again this year, so he doesn’t need any help. But Allen only faces an opening schedule at the Rams and at the Dolphins in the first three weeks, then the two matchups versus the Patriots are the only bad matchups the rest of the way.

Jalen Hurts (PHI) – When the Eagles acquired A.J. Brown, Hurts fantasy stock already took a bump up. Add that to second-year DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert and Hurts should see better stats opening up with just one bad matchup over his first 13 games while facing nine of the more advantageous defensive venues. His playoff stretch is much less appealing with a string of road games when fantasy leagues are ending.

Trevor Lawrence (JAC) – Last season’s 1.01 draft pick, Lawrence suffered through a nightmarish rookie campaign complete with losing layers of offensive starters and arguably the worst coaching situation in recent history. The receivers were upgraded with Evan Engram and Christian Kirk, and Travis Etienne gets his mulligan from a lost rookie year. Add that to a more fortunate slate of games that opens lightly without a bad matchup until the Broncos in Week 8 and four of the final six weeks versus the weaker secondaries of last year.

Joe Burrow (CIN) – Like Josh Allen, Joe Burrow is already better than any schedule, but he still lands one of the better opening stretches in the league with soft matchups in each of his first seven games. He’ll be more challenged to finish up fantasy playoffs with road venues in Tampa Bay and New England, and then hosting the Bills in Week 17.

Zach Wilson (NYJ) – The Jets have retooled and should see more success on offense in head coach Robert Saleh’s second season. But Zach Wilson will be fighting the worst schedule of any NFL quarterback. Starting in Week 2, he enjoys only one of the lighter defensive matchups while going against the better secondaries in almost every game until, mercifully, facing the visiting Jaguars in Week 16.

Kyler Murray (ARI) – The schedule is a new complication for Kyler Murray. The Cardinals open against the visiting Chiefs and never again face a defensive venue in the Bottom-20 from last year. Neutral games against the Buccaneers and Falcons end the fantasy season, but there’s no advantage to this schedule along the way.

2022 weekly schedule strength by team

	ARI	ATL	BAL	BUF	CAR	CHI	CIN	CLE
1	KC	NO	@NYJ	@LAR	CLE	SF	PIT	@CAR
2	@LV	@LAR	MIA	TEN	@NYG	@GB	@DAL	NYJ
3	LAR	@SEA	@NE	@MIA	NO	HOU	@NYJ	PIT
4	@CAR	CLE	BUF	@BAL	ARI	@NYG	MIA	@ATL
5	PHI	@TB	CIN	PIT	SF	@MIN	@BAL	LAC
6	@SEA	SF	@NYG	@KC	@LAR	WAS	@NO	NE
7	NO	@CIN	CLE	bye	TB	@NE	ATL	@BAL
8	@MIN	CAR	@TB	GB	@ATL	@DAL	@CLE	CIN
9	SEA	LAC	@NO	@NYJ	@CIN	MIA	CAR	bye
10	@LAR	@CAR	bye	MIN	ATL	DET	bye	@MIA
11	SF	CHI	CAR	CLE	@BAL	@ATL	@PIT	@BUF
12	LAC	@WAS	@JAC	@DET	DEN	@NYJ	@TEN	TB
13	bye	PIT	DEN	@NE	bye	GB	KC	@HOU
14	NE	bye	@PIT	NYJ	@SEA	bye	CLE	@CIN
15	@DEN	@NO	@CLE	MIA	PIT	PHI	@TB	BAL
16	TB	@BAL	ATL	@CHI	DET	BUF	@NE	NO
17	@ATL	ARI	PIT	@CIN	@TB	@DET	BUF	@WAS
18	@SF	TB	@CIN	NE	@NO	MIN	BAL	@PIT
	DAL	DEN	DET	GB	HOU	IND	JAC	KC
1	TB	@SEA	PHI	@MIN	IND	@HOU	@WAS	@ARI
2	CIN	HOU	WAS	CHI	@DEN	@JAC	IND	LAC
3	@NYG	SF	@MIN	@TB	@CHI	KC	@LAC	@IND
4	WAS	@LV	SEA	NE	LAC	TEN	@PHI	@TB
5	@LAR	IND	@NE	NYG	@JAC	@DEN	HOU	LV
6	@PHI	@LAC	bye	NYJ	bye	JAC	@IND	BUF
7	DET	NYJ	@DAL	@WAS	@LV	@TEN	NYG	@SF
8	CHI	@JAC	MIA	@BUF	TEN	WAS	DEN	bye
9	bye	bye	GB	@DET	PHI	@NE	LV	TEN
10	@GB	@TEN	@CHI	DAL	@NYG	@LV	@KC	JAC
11	@MIN	LV	@NYG	TEN	WAS	PHI	bye	@LAC
12	NYG	@CAR	BUF	@PHI	@MIA	PIT	BAL	LAR
13	IND	@BAL	JAC	@CHI	CLE	@DAL	@DET	@CIN
14	HOU	KC	MIN	bye	@DAL	bye	@TEN	@DEN
15	@JAC	ARI	@NYJ	LAR	KC	@MIN	DAL	@HOU
16	PHI	@LAR	@CAR	@MIA	@TEN	LAC	@NYJ	SEA
17	@TEN	@KC	CHI	MIN	JAC	@NYG	@HOU	DEN
18	@WAS	LAC	@GB	DET	@IND	HOU	TEN	@LV
	LAC	LAR	LV	MIA	MIN	NE	NO	NYG
1	LV	BUF	@LAC	NE	GB	@MIA	@ATL	@TEN
2	@KC	ATL	ARI	@BAL	@PHI	@PIT	TB	CAR
3	JAC	@ARI	@TEN	BUF	DET	BAL	@CAR	DAL
4	@HOU	@SF	DEN	@CIN	@NO	@GB	MIN	CHI
5	@CLE	DAL	@KC	@NYJ	CHI	DET	SEA	@GB
6	DEN	CAR	bye	MIN	@MIA	@CLE	CIN	BAL
7	SEA	bye	HOU	PIT	bye	CHI	@ARI	@JAC
8	bye	SF	@NO	@DET	ARI	@NYJ	LV	@SEA
9	@ATL	@TB	@JAC	@CHI	@WAS	IND	BAL	bye
10	@SF	ARI	IND	CLE	@BUF	bye	@PIT	HOU
11	KC	@NO	@DEN	bye	DAL	NYJ	LAR	DET
12	@ARI	@KC	@SEA	HOU	NE	@MIN	@SF	@DAL
13	@LV	SEA	LAC	@SF	NYJ	BUF	@TB	WAS
14	MIA	LV	@LAR	@LAC	@DET	@ARI	bye	PHI
15	TEN	@GB	NE	@BUF	IND	@LV	ATL	@WAS
16	@IND	DEN	@PIT	GB	NYG	CIN	@CLE	@MIN
17	LAR	@LAC	SF	@NE	@GB	MIA	@PHI	IND
18	@DEN	@SEA	KC	NYJ	@CHI	@BUF	CAR	@PHI
	NYJ	PHI	PIT	SEA	SF	TB	TEN	WAS
1	BAL	@DET	@CIN	DEN	@CHI	@DAL	NYG	JAC
2	@CLE	MIN	NE	@SF	SEA	@NO	@BUF	@DET
3	CIN	@WAS	@CLE	ATL	@DEN	GB	LV	PHI
4	@PIT	JAC	NYJ	@DET	LAR	KC	@IND	@DAL
5	MIA	@ARI	@BUF	@NO	@CAR	ATL	@WAS	TEN
6	@GB	DAL	TB	ARI	@ATL	@PIT	bye	@CHI
7	@DEN	bye	@MIA	@LAC	KC	@CAR	IND	GB
8	NE	PIT	@PHI	NYG	@LAR	BAL	@HOU	@IND
9	BUF	@HOU	bye	@ARI	bye	LAR	@KC	MIN
10	bye	WAS	NO	@TB	LAC	SEA	DEN	@PHI
11	@NE	@IND	CIN	bye	@ARI	bye	@GB	@HOU
12	CHI	GB	@IND	LV	NO	@CLE	CIN	ATL
13	@MIN	TEN	@ATL	@LAR	MIA	NO	@PHI	@NYG
14	@BUF	@NYG	BAL	CAR	TB	@SF	JAC	bye
15	DET	@CHI	@CAR	SF	@SEA	CIN	@LAC	NYG
16	JAC	@DAL	LV	@KC	WAS	@ARI	HOU	@SF
17	@SEA	NO	@BAL	NYJ	@LV	CAR	DAL	CLE
18	@MIA	NYG	CLE	LAR	ARI	@ATL	@JAC	DAL

Fantasy points per venue allowed to quarterbacks

These are the values applied to this year’s schedule to determine strength of schedule for quarterbacks.

KC	29.7	@TB	23.6	@DEN	21.5
WAS	29.6	@CIN	23.6	@SEA	21.5
@PHI	27.4	@IND	23.5	DET	21.4
ATL	26.1	SF	23.3	@NE	21.4
@DAL	26.1	TB	23.1	@CAR	21.3
MIN	26.1	CHI	23.1	DAL	21.2
CLE	25.9	@ARI	23.0	@PIT	20.8
MIA	25.6	@LVR	23.0	LVR	20.8
GB	25.1	@ATL	22.8	CIN	20.5
BAL	25.0	HOU	22.8	@SF	20.3
JAC	24.9	@LAC	22.4	@JAC	20.2
@WAS	24.8	@CHI	22.4	@LAR	20.0
TEN	24.8	LAR	22.3	CAR	19.8
@DET	24.7	@GB	22.3	NO	19.5
@BAL	24.6	ARI	22.2	DEN	19.1
@NO	24.4	@MIN	22.1	BUF	18.6
NYJ	24.3	@TEN	22.1	@NYG	18.6
NYG	24.2	@KC	21.9	@MIA	18.5
IND	24.2	SEA	21.9	@CLE	18.2
@NYJ	24.1	LAC	21.8	PHI	17.8
PIT	24.0			NE	15.2
@HOU	23.9			@BUF	15.1