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USA Today Sports Media Group
USA Today Sports Media Group
Sport
Charles Curtis

NFL mock draft 2024: The consensus mock shows how experts are projecting the first round

IT’S NFL DRAFT WEEK!! WOOHOOOOOOO!

That’s right, the 2024 NFL Draft is nearly upon us, but that means we’ve hit peak mock draft SZN. So it’s time once again to round up the experts around the internet: Who are they picking where?

In case you don’t know the drill: We take a bunch of mocks —specifically, the latest from our Christian D’Andrea, one from ESPN, another from PFF, one from USA TODAY Sports, and another from CBS Sports. Then, we look at the picks each made and average out each player’s positions and match them to each of the first 32 picks of the first round. Anyone left out of a first-round mock was assigned the 32rd pick.

Worth noting: Some of these picks may not fit the teams they’re assigned to due to trades in some mocks and some pick differences.

Be sure to check out D’Andrea’s latest mock draft!

1
Chicago Bears (from the Carolina Panthers): USC QB Caleb Williams

Jason Parkhurst-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 1.00

2
Washington Commanders: LSU QB Jayden Daniels

(Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

AVERAGE: 2.17

3
New England Patriots: North Carolina QB Drake Maye

Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 2.83

4
Arizona Cardinals: Ohio State WR Marvin Harrison

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 4.00

5
Los Angeles Chargers: Michigan QB JJ McCarthy

(Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images)

AVERAGE: 5.67

Note that this is where a lot of mocks have McCarthy going to a team like the Vikings.

6
New York Giants: LSU WR Malik Nabers

Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 6.33

7
Tennessee Titans: Notre Dame OT Joe Alt

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

8
Atlanta Falcons: Washington WR Rome Odunze

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 7.5

9
Chicago Bears: Georgia TE Brock Bowers

Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

AVERAGE: 11.5

10
New York Jets: Alabama Edge Dallas Turner

(Photo by Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images)

AVERAGE: 12.67

11
Minnesota Vikings: UCLA Edge Laiatu Latu

Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 13.67

12
Denver Broncos: Penn State OT Olumuyiwa Fashanu

Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

13
Las Vegas Raiders: Alabama CB Terrion Arnold

Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 14.33

14
New Orleans Saints: Toledo CB Quinyon Mitchell

Lon Horwedel-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 14.5

15
Indianapolis Colts: Oregon State OT Taliese Fuaga

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 14.83

16
Seattle Seahawks: LSU WR Brian Thomas Jr.

USA TODAY

AVERAGE: 15.83

17
Jacksonville Jaguars: Washington OT Troy Fautanu

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 16.33

18
Cincinnati Bengals: Texas DL Byron Murphy

Texas Longhorns defensive lineman Byron Murphy II (90) throws Washington running back Dillon Johnson (7) to the ground during the Sugar Bowl College Football Playoff semifinals game at the Caesars Superdome on Monday, Jan. 1, 2024 in New Orleans, Louisiana.

AVERAGE: 17.17

19
Los Angeles Rams: Alabama OT JC Latham

Gary Cosby Jr.-Tuscaloosa News

AVERAGE: 19.17

20
Pittsburgh Steelers: Florida State Edge Jared Verse

Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 20.17

21
Miami Dolphins: Duke OT Graham Barton

Jaylynn Nash-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 21.77

22
Philadelphia Eagles: Georgia OT Amarius Mims

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 23.17

23
Minnesota Vikings (via Cleveland Browns and Houston Texans): Iowa DB Cooper DeJean

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 24.00

24
Dallas Cowboys: Texas WR Adonai Mitchell

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 24.50

25
Green Bay Packers: Illinois DL Jer'Zhan Newton

Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 26.33

26
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Penn State Edge Chop Robinson

Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images

AVERAGE: 27.33

27
Arizona Cardinals (via Houston Texans): Clemson CB Nate Wiggins

Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 27.50

28
Buffalo Bills: Oregon IOL Jackson Powers-Johnson

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 28.50

29
Detroit Lions: Oklahoma OT Tyler Guyton

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 28.83

30
Baltimore Ravens: Washington QB Michael Penix Jr.

Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 28.83

Again, this assumes a trade up and not the Ravens taking a QB.

31
San Francisco 49ers: Oregon QB Bo Nix, Oregon

Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 29.0

32
Kansas City Chiefs: Alabama CB Kool-Aid McKinstry

Gary Cosby Jr.-USA TODAY Sports

AVERAGE: 29.50

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