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The Independent UK
The Independent UK
World
Andrew Buncombe, Oliver Carroll, Andrew Woodcock, Andrew Feinberg

Justin Trudeau says intelligence indicates Ukraine plane was shot down by Iran missile

Justin Trudeauwhose nation lost 63 citizens in the loss of Ukrainian International Airlines flight 752 – has said intelligence indicates it was most likely shot down by an Iranian missile.

As unidentified US and British officials said it appeared the plane was shot down by Tehran, most likely in an accident, Mr Trudeau stood before the cameras to call for a full investigation, and to reveal what he had been told by intelligence officials.

“We have intelligence from multiple sources... the intelligence indicates that the plane was shot down by an Iranian surface-to-air missile,” he said. “This may well have been unintentional.”

He added: “The intelligence evidence suggests very clearly a possible and probable cause for the crash.”

British prime minister Boris Johnson, later echoed Mr Trudeau’s comments. “There is now a body of information that the flight was shot down by an Iranian Surface to Air Missile. This may well have been unintentional,” he said in a statement, adding that four Britons were among the 176 people who lost their lives.

The comments of the two leaders come after remarks from anonymous Western officials suggesting Flight 752 had been shot down by the Iranians, apparently in error, on the night they launched ballistic missiles on US-Iraqi bases in Iraq, and may have been anticipating a possible reprisal from Washington.

Donald Trump said the plane was flying in a “rough neighbourhood”, and that something very terrible happened”.

Adding to the growing evidence, the New York Timespublished video footage it said appears to show an Iranian missile hitting a plane close to Tehran’s airport at the same time  Flight 752 stopped transmitting its radio signal.

“A small explosion occurred when a missile hit the plane, but the plane did not explode, the video showed,” the newspaper said.

“The jet continued flying for several minutes and turned back towards the airport.”

The developments came as tensions between the US and Iran had appeared to ease, after Mr Trump on Wednesday indicated Washington was not planning further military operations, following the targetted assassination of Iranian military leader Qassem Soleimani.

When Iran responded by firing missiles at two bases used by US troops in norther Iraq, there as widespread concern the situation may rapidly escalate. It remains to be seen how Iranian responsibility for the downing of Flight 752 – if Tehran was responsible, impacts the already tense situation. 

If confirmed, the plane’s downing would darkly echo an incident from three decades ago, when a US ship,USS Vincennes, accidentally downed an Iranian passenger plane with the loss of 290 lives during another period of conformation between the two nations.

Earlier, Ukraine’s top security official said that a missile strike was considered to be one of the “main working theories” for the crash. 

Oleksiy Danilov, secretary of Ukraine’s Security Council, said officials were in Iran with a brief to look for any possible missile debris or evidence of a rocket strike.  

“A rocket strike, possibly a Tor missile system, is among the main working theories, since there is information on the internet about elements of a missile being found near the site of the crash,” he said. 

Philip Ingram, a former British military intelligence officer, explained the possible delay in the US releasing its conclusions by saying announcing a “working confirmation” could be a way of “releasing very classified info without giving your capability away”.

“If the missile was of a certain size then the US has a satellite network that will pick up any launch,” he said. I

ran’s head of civil aviation, Ali Abedzadeh, was quoted by ISNA News Agency as saying that it was “impossible that a missile hit the Ukrainian plane”. “How can a plane be hit by rocket or missile [and then the pilot] try to turn back to the airport?”​

Speaking in Ottawa, Mr Trudeau demanded a full investigation and that he had spoken with Iranian foreign minister Mohammad Zarif. He also spoke to Ukraine president Volodymyr Zelensky

“I made it clear that Canadian officials must be granted access to Iran...to...participate in a thorough investigation,” he said.

“What happened yesterday was a tragedy...that shocked not only Canada, but the world.”​

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